Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.48 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCD to win ✗47% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Kerry vs UCD preview and prediction
The match
UCD travel to Mounthawk Park in the First Division on Friday 10 April (19:45 WAT) to face Kerry.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Cork City 2–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
UCD's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Wexford 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished UCD 2–1 Kerry.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Kerry and 1.4 for UCD. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 31%, draw 23%, UCD 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: UCD to win at 2.48 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kerry 1–1 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
UCD47%fair 2.15 · @2.48
2.41Expected goals
1.04Kerry xG
1.37UCD xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.0 – 1.4 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kerry vs UCD?
On our numbers Kerry have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCD 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs UCD?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs UCD?
Kerry vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
