The First Division sees Finn Harps take on Cork City on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Finn Park. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Cork City sit 1st on 75 points (top of the table). A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Kerry 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cork City's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Athlone Town 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Cork City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Finn Harps and 1.8 for Cork City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 15%, draw 21%, Cork City 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Finn Harps 0–1 Cork City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps15%fair 6.58 · @8.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.35
Cork City64%fair 1.57 · @1.38
2.61Expected goals
0.76Finn Harps xG
1.85Cork City xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.8 – 1.8 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✗
64%
1.57
1.38
Double chance
Cork City or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Half-time result
Cork City ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Finn Harps – last 6
LDDDWL
20 Mar
@ Kerry
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Treaty United
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Wexford
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs UCD
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cork City – last 6
WWWDWW
27 Mar
vs Athlone Town
4–1
W
20 Mar
@ UCD
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Wexford
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finn Harps and Cork City.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Cork City?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cork City 64%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Finn Harps vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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