Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.43
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Sligo Rovers host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Showgrounds. Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sligo Rovers's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Dundalk's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Bohemians 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Dundalk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Dundalk 1–1 Sligo Rovers. Across their last 2 meetings Sligo Rovers have won 0, Dundalk 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Sligo Rovers and 1.9 for Dundalk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Dundalk to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sligo Rovers22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @3.80
Dundalk59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
2.86Expected goals
1.01Sligo Rovers xG
1.85Dundalk xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 1.0 – 1.9 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Dundalk to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dundalk 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
