St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
St Patrick's Athl. to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗67% · @1.57
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✗90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne preview and prediction
The match
Shelbourne travel to Richmond Park in the Premier Division on Friday 16 October (19:45 WAT) to face St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Shelbourne sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four).
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shelbourne's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Shelbourne 1–2 St Patrick's Athl.. Across their last 2 meetings St Patrick's Athl. have won 2, Shelbourne 0, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.7 for Shelbourne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 67%, draw 23%, Shelbourne 10%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St Patrick's Athl. to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Shelbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
Shelbourne10%fair 9.95 · @5.00
2.62Expected goals
1.96St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.66Shelbourne xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.0 – 0.7 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
Our pick is St Patrick's Athl. to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shelbourne 10%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
