Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✓67% · @1.35
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Shelbourne host Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Tolka Park. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Sligo Rovers sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Galway United 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sligo Rovers's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Shelbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shelbourne. Across their last 2 meetings Shelbourne have won 0, Sligo Rovers 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Shelbourne and 0.7 for Sligo Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Shelbourne to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne67%fair 1.48 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.75
Sligo Rovers11%fair 8.70 · @7.50
2.58Expected goals
1.93Shelbourne xG
0.65Sligo Rovers xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 0.7 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Shelbourne to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sligo Rovers 11%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
