Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Dundalk vs Bohemians preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Dundalk take on Bohemians on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Oriel Park. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Bohemians sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Bohemians's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Bohemians 1905 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bohemians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 June 2026, finished Bohemians 1–2 Dundalk. Across their last 3 meetings Dundalk have won 1, Bohemians 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Dundalk and 2.0 for Bohemians. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Bohemians to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk22%fair 4.54 · @3.40
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @3.50
Bohemians60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.09Dundalk xG
1.99Bohemians xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.1 – 2.0 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bohemians to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Dundalk vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bohemians 60%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Bohemians?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Bohemians?
Dundalk vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
