Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Derry City to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Derry City take on St Patrick's Athl. on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Drogheda United 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Derry City. Across their last 3 meetings Derry City have won 0, St Patrick's Athl. 0, with 3 draws and 0.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Derry City and 1.4 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 33%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Derry City to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City33%fair 3.04 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
2.56Expected goals
1.15Derry City xG
1.41St Patrick's Athl. xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.1 – 1.4 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Derry City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 45%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
