Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
St Patrick's Athl. travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Monday 14 September (19:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Waterford 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Shamrock Rovers 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 July 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk. Across their last 3 meetings Dundalk have won 1, St Patrick's Athl. 1, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Dundalk and 1.5 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 33%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
St Patrick's Athl.46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
2.75Expected goals
1.23Dundalk xG
1.52St Patrick's Athl. xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.2 – 1.5 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St Patrick's Athl. 46%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
