Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✓40% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Drogheda United vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Dundalk travel to Weavers Park in the Premier Division on Friday 28 August (20:00 WAT) to face Drogheda United. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundalk's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Galway United 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Dundalk 1–2 Drogheda United. Across their last 3 meetings Drogheda United have won 1, Dundalk 0, with 2 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Drogheda United and 1.4 for Dundalk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 37%, draw 23%, Dundalk 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Dundalk40%fair 2.50 · @2.18
2.80Expected goals
1.37Drogheda United xG
1.43Dundalk xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.4 – 1.4 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundalk 40%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Drogheda United vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
