Value bet: Shelbourne to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
Shelbourne host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tolka Park. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Ajax 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Derry City 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Shelbourne 2–3 St Patrick's Athl..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Shelbourne and 1.4 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shelbourne 33%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Shelbourne to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
St Patrick's Athl.45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
2.55Expected goals
1.15Shelbourne xG
1.39St Patrick's Athl. xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.2 – 1.4 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 45%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
