Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
Derry City travel to Richmond Park in the Premier Division on Sunday 2 August (17:00 WAT) to face St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Dundalk 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Derry City's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to HNK Rijeka 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Derry City 0–0 St Patrick's Athl.. Across their last 2 meetings St Patrick's Athl. have won 0, Derry City 0, with 2 draws and 0.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.7 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 61%, draw 26%, Derry City 14%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.45
Derry City14%fair 7.32 · @4.75
2.47Expected goals
1.75St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.72Derry City xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.7 – 0.7 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derry City 14%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
