Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.97
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
St Patrick's Athl. host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Richmond Park. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Wexford 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Dundalk's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat St Mochta's 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Dundalk 2–0 St Patrick's Athl.. Across their last 2 meetings St Patrick's Athl. have won 1, Dundalk 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.9 for Dundalk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 61%, draw 24%, Dundalk 15%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.61%fair 1.63 · @1.56
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.10
Dundalk15%fair 6.55 · @5.40
2.87Expected goals
1.97St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.90Dundalk xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.0 – 0.9 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dundalk 15%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
