Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Shamrock Rovers or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗53% · @1.85
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
Shamrock Rovers host Derry City in the Premier Division on Monday 22 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tallaght Stadium. Shamrock Rovers are 1st with 68 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Waterford 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Derry City's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Galway United 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Derry City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.1 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shamrock Rovers 53%, draw 26%, Derry City 21%.
Safer route: Shamrock Rovers or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shamrock Rovers or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shamrock Rovers53%fair 1.89 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.40
Derry City21%fair 4.79 · @4.30
2.61Expected goals
1.56Shamrock Rovers xG
1.05Derry City xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.6 – 1.1 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Shamrock Rovers or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derry City 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.