Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✗57% · @1.59
Double chanceDundalk or draw ✗80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Dundalk vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Drogheda United travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday 10 July (19:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Drogheda United's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Bohemians 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Dundalk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk. Across their last 2 meetings Dundalk have won 0, Drogheda United 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.8 for Dundalk and 1.2 for Drogheda United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 57%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 20%.
Safer route: Dundalk or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk57%fair 1.76 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.10
Drogheda United20%fair 4.98 · @5.00
3.10Expected goals
1.85Dundalk xG
1.25Drogheda United xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.8 – 1.2 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drogheda United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
