Value bet: Shelbourne to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✗40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.84
Derry City vs Shelbourne preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Derry City take on Shelbourne on Monday 25 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Shelbourne sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shelbourne's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Waterford 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Shelbourne 1–2 Derry City. Across their last 2 meetings Derry City have won 1, Shelbourne 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Derry City and 1.2 for Shelbourne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 40%, draw 24%, Shelbourne 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Shelbourne to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 Shelbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City40%fair 2.52 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Shelbourne36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.56Expected goals
1.32Derry City xG
1.24Shelbourne xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.3 – 1.2 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Derry City vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Derry City have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shelbourne 36%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Derry City vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
