Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✗64% · @1.50
Double chanceDundalk or draw ✗84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Dundalk vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Dundalk take on Waterford on Friday 26 June, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Oriel Park. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Bohemians 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Waterford's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Dundalk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Waterford 3–3 Dundalk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Dundalk and 1.0 for Waterford. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Dundalk to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Dundalk 2–1 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.45
Waterford16%fair 6.39 · @5.60
3.19Expected goals
2.19Dundalk xG
1.00Waterford xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 2.2 – 1.0 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Dundalk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Dundalk vs Waterford?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waterford 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Waterford?
Dundalk vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.