Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 2.32 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗46% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Derry City vs Bohemians preview and prediction
The match
Bohemians travel to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in the Premier Division on Friday 12 June (19:45 WAT) to face Derry City. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Bohemians sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Dundalk 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Bohemians's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Bohemians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Bohemians 1–1 Derry City. Across their last 2 meetings Derry City have won 0, Bohemians 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Derry City and 1.4 for Bohemians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 32%, draw 22%, Bohemians 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Bohemians to win at 2.32 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 Bohemians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City32%fair 3.16 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Bohemians46%fair 2.16 · @2.32
2.45Expected goals
1.07Derry City xG
1.38Bohemians xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.1 – 1.4 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Derry City vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Derry City have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bohemians 46%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
