Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 2.44 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrogheda United to win ✗44% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Waterford vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Waterford take on Drogheda United on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Regional Sports Centre. Waterford are 7th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waterford's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Drogheda United's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Derry City 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Drogheda United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Drogheda United 2–0 Waterford.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Waterford and 1.5 for Drogheda United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Waterford 35%, draw 21%, Drogheda United 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 2.44 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Drogheda United44%fair 2.26 · @2.44
2.88Expected goals
1.33Waterford xG
1.54Drogheda United xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.3 – 1.5 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Waterford have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Drogheda United 44%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Waterford vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
