St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓66% · @1.80
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.85
St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United preview and prediction
The match
Galway United travel to Richmond Park in the Premier Division on Monday 2 March (20:45 WAT) to face St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Galway United sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.5 for Galway United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 66%, draw 21%, Galway United 13%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Galway United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.66%fair 1.51 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.35
Galway United13%fair 7.52 · @4.60
2.01Expected goals
1.54St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.47Galway United xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 – 0.5 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
66%
1.51
1.80 ▲
Double chance
St Patrick's Athl. or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.85
–
Form
St Patrick's Athl. – last 2
WL
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Galway United – last 2
WD
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shelbourne
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Galway United.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Galway United 13%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
