Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗39% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.82
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Shelbourne take on Shamrock Rovers on Monday 9 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Tolka Park. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Shamrock Rovers sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Derry City 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Shelbourne and 1.3 for Shamrock Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 2.74 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne36%fair 2.75 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Shamrock Rovers39%fair 2.55 · @2.74
2.55Expected goals
1.25Shelbourne xG
1.31Shamrock Rovers xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.2 – 1.3 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✗
39%
2.55
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
Shelbourne – last 3
LWD
6 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shamrock Rovers – last 4
WLDW
6 Mar
vs Derry City
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Bohemians
2–3
L
23 Feb
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Shamrock Rovers.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shamrock Rovers 39%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
