Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Shamrock Rovers take on Dundalk on Monday 23 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Tallaght Stadium. Shamrock Rovers are 1st with 68 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.1 for Dundalk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Shamrock Rovers or draw (82%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shamrock Rovers62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.85
Dundalk18%fair 5.59 · @5.75
3.09Expected goals
1.98Shamrock Rovers xG
1.11Dundalk xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 2.0 – 1.1 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Shamrock Rovers or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Half-time result
Shamrock Rovers ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Shamrock Rovers – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dundalk 18%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
