Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 2.68 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✓41% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Atletico San Luis take on U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez. Atletico San Luis are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico San Luis's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Toluca 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Guadalajara Chivas 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Atletico San Luis and 1.5 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 23%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 2.68 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atletico San Luis 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico San Luis36%fair 2.78 · @2.42
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
U.N.A.M. - Pumas41%fair 2.42 · @2.68
2.97Expected goals
1.42Atletico San Luis xG
1.55U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.4 – 1.5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
41%
2.42
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Atletico San Luis – last 6
DWLDLW
13 Apr
@ Toluca
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Monterrey
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Leon
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Pachuca
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Mazatlán
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
DWDWLD
6 Apr
@ Guadalajara Chivas
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Club America
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Necaxa
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Toluca
2–3
L
28 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 41%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1