Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNecaxa to win ✓62% · @1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Necaxa vs Mazatlán preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa host Mazatlán in the Liga MX on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria.
Form guide
Necaxa's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Club Tijuana 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mazatlán's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Cruz Azul 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Mazatlán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Necaxa and 1.0 for Mazatlán. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa 62%, draw 19%, Mazatlán 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Necaxa 2–0 Mazatlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa62%fair 1.61 · @1.64
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Mazatlán19%fair 5.19 · @4.75
2.97Expected goals
1.99Necaxa xG
0.98Mazatlán xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Necaxa 2.0 – 1.0 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Necaxa to win✓
62%
1.61
1.64
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Necaxa ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Necaxa / FT Necaxa✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.83
–
Form
Necaxa – last 6
WDLLLL
21 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 6
DLWLWD
21 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and Mazatlán.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mazatlán 19%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 2–0 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
Necaxa vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
