Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub America to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceClub America or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Club America vs Mazatlán preview and prediction
The match
Mazatlán travel to Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes in the Liga MX on Monday 16 March (02:00 WAT) to face Club America.
Form guide
Club America's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Philadelphia Union 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mazatlán's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Leon 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Mazatlán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Club America and 1.1 for Mazatlán. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club America 65%, draw 19%, Mazatlán 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Club America 2–1 Mazatlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club America65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.10
Mazatlán15%fair 6.50 · @8.10
3.43Expected goals
2.28Club America xG
1.15Mazatlán xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Club America 2.3 – 1.1 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Club America
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
+43%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+17%
Our expected goals here
2.69
1.49
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
Club America or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.48
Half-time result
Club America ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Club America – last 6
WWLLWL
11 Mar
@ Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Club Queretaro
2–1
W
5 Mar
vs FC Juarez
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ Puebla
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 5
WLWDW
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club America and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for Club America vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club America vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Club America have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mazatlán 15%.
How many goals will there be in Club America vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club America vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Club America 2–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Club America vs Mazatlán?
Club America vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
