Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Santos Laguna to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos Laguna to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Santos Laguna take on Mazatlán on Monday 16 February, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Santos Laguna and 1.1 for Mazatlán. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Santos Laguna to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Santos Laguna 1–1 Mazatlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos Laguna59%fair 1.69 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
Mazatlán21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
3.00Expected goals
1.95Santos Laguna xG
1.06Mazatlán xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.9 – 1.1 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos Laguna to win✗
59%
1.69
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Half-time result
Santos Laguna ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos Laguna / FT Santos Laguna✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Santos Laguna
No recent results on record.
Mazatlán
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mazatlán 21%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?
Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
