Coritiba host Santos in the Serie A on Wednesday 18 November, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Coritiba are 12th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Santos sit 9th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Coritiba's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Internacional 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Santos's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Santos 0–3 Coritiba. Across their last 3 meetings Coritiba have won 1, Santos 1, with 1 draw and 1.7 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Coritiba and 1.6 for Santos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Coritiba 30%, draw 24%, Santos 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Coritiba 1–1 Santos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coritiba30%fair 3.30 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Santos46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
2.76Expected goals
1.20Coritiba xG
1.56Santos xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.2 – 1.6 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Coritiba
Santos
Attack vs Serie A average
-19%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.51
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Coritiba vs Santos?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santos 46%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Santos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Santos?
Coritiba vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
