Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Cruzeiro vs Bahia preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro host Bahia in the Serie A on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Bahia sit 6th on 53 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Atletico-MG 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bahia's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Sao Paulo 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cruzeiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Cruzeiro and 0.9 for Bahia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruzeiro 64%, draw 23%, Bahia 13%.
Safer route: Cruzeiro or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruzeiro to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 2–0 Bahia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.90
Bahia13%fair 7.92 · @4.33
2.98Expected goals
2.10Cruzeiro xG
0.87Bahia xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.1 – 0.9 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cruzeiro to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bahia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
