The Serie A sees Chapecoense-sc take on Mirassol on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Arena Condá. Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 21 points from 33 games (in the bottom three), while Mirassol sit 14th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mirassol's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Corinthians 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mirassol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.7 for Mirassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chapecoense-sc27%fair 3.75 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Mirassol52%fair 1.94 · @2.05
2.76Expected goals
1.11Chapecoense-sc xG
1.66Mirassol xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.1 – 1.7 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
31%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LWLLLD
28 Oct
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
8 Oct
@ Vitoria
0–4
L
26 Sep
@ Atletico Nacional
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 6
LDWLDW
31 Oct
@ Corinthians
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Internacional
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Bahia
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Botafogo
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mirassol 52%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
