Value bet: Vitoria to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoritiba to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Coritiba vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
Vitoria travel to Estádio Couto Pereira in the Serie A on Thursday 29 October (23:30 WAT) to face Coritiba. Coritiba are 12th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Vitoria sit 15th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Coritiba's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Gremio 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Vitoria's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Paranaense 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vitoria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Coritiba and 1.3 for Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Coritiba 38%, draw 24%, Vitoria 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Vitoria to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Coritiba 1–1 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coritiba38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Vitoria38%fair 2.64 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.32Coritiba xG
1.32Vitoria xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.3 – 1.3 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coritiba to win✓
38%
2.63
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coritiba / FT Coritiba✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Coritiba – last 6
LLDLLD
26 Oct
vs Gremio
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Fluminense
0–4
L
20 Sep
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–5
L
12 Sep
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–3
D
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
DDLWLD
24 Oct
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
1–2
L
8 Oct
vs Chapecoense-sc
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Cruzeiro
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Mirassol
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Vitoria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Coritiba vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitoria 38%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Vitoria?
Coritiba vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Couto Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
