Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Couto PereiraCoritiba vs Botafogo prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.4 – 1.5 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Coritiba and Botafogo on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Coritiba have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8 per game. Botafogo have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Coritiba, 1.5 for Botafogo). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Botafogo to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo ✗ | 24% | 4.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.54 | – |
Form
Coritiba – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ Fluminense | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Vasco DA Gama | 0–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Atletico Paranaense | 3–3 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Mirassol | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Remo | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
Botafogo – last 6
| 8 Oct | vs Vasco DA Gama | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Mirassol | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Gremio | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs RB Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Palmeiras | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Flamengo | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Botafogo.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Coritiba vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Botafogo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Botafogo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Coritiba vs Botafogo?
Coritiba vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Couto Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.