Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Bragantino to win ✓38% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Mirassol vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Mirassol take on RB Bragantino on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Mirassol are 14th with 40 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mirassol's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Botafogo 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
RB Bragantino's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Flamengo 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
RB Bragantino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Mirassol and 1.2 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: RB Bragantino to win at 3.40 – 38% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mirassol 1–1 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
RB Bragantino38%fair 2.63 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.24Mirassol xG
1.24RB Bragantino xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.2 – 1.2 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Bragantino to win✓
38%
2.63
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Form
Mirassol – last 4
LLDL
1 Apr
@ Botafogo
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Santos
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Portuguesa
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 6
WLLDDW
3 Apr
vs Flamengo
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bahia
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gremio
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Novorizontino
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and RB Bragantino 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
Mirassol vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
