Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.04
Flamengo vs Mirassol preview and prediction
The match
Mirassol travel to face Flamengo in the Serie A on Wednesday 2 September (23:30 WAT). Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Mirassol sit 14th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Botafogo 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Mirassol's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Palmeiras 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Flamengo and 0.8 for Mirassol. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo71%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @5.90
Mirassol14%fair 7.14 · @10.25
2.91Expected goals
2.14Flamengo xG
0.77Mirassol xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.1 – 0.8 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flamengo vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mirassol 14%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Mirassol?
Flamengo vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
