Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 2.32 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓49% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Internacional vs Palmeiras preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Internacional take on Palmeiras on Friday 13 February, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estádio Beira-Rio. Internacional are 16th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Palmeiras sit 2nd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Internacional and 1.7 for Palmeiras. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional 29%, draw 22%, Palmeiras 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Palmeiras to win at 2.32 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Internacional 1–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional29%fair 3.42 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Palmeiras49%fair 2.05 · @2.32
2.98Expected goals
1.26Internacional xG
1.71Palmeiras xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.3 – 1.7 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
49%
2.05
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.59
–
Form
Internacional
No recent results on record.
Palmeiras
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Palmeiras.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Internacional vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Internacional have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 49%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Palmeiras?
Internacional vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
