Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win46% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.65
River Plate vs Boca Juniors preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees River Plate take on Boca Juniors on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental. River Plate are 7th with 55 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Boca Juniors sit 1st on 63 points (top of the table).
Form guide
River Plate's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Carabobo FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boca Juniors's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for River Plate and 0.9 for Boca Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: River Plate 46%, draw 23%, Boca Juniors 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: River Plate 1–0 Boca Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
River Plate46%fair 2.19 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Boca Juniors31%fair 3.24 · @3.40
2.05Expected goals
1.17River Plate xG
0.88Boca Juniors xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.2 – 0.9 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win
46%
2.19
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.65
–
Form
River Plate – last 6
WWDWWD
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Huracan
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
WDWWWD
15 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Independiente
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ U. Catolica
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–0
W
23 Mar
vs Instituto Cordoba
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers River Plate have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boca Juniors 31%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
River Plate vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentinos JRS1
Atletico Tucuman0
Aldosivi0
Racing Club0