Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Lanus to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLanus to win ✗46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Gimnasia M. vs Lanus preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia M. host Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 01:45 (WAT) at Víctor Legrotaglie. Gimnasia M. are 17th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Lanus sit 9th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gimnasia M.'s last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Velez Sarsfield 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lanus's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Always Ready 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lanus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Gimnasia M. and 1.2 for Lanus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia M. 29%, draw 25%, Lanus 46%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Lanus to win at 2.38 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Gimnasia M. 0–1 Lanus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia M.29%fair 3.50 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.82
Lanus46%fair 2.15 · @2.38
2.10Expected goals
0.87Gimnasia M. xG
1.23Lanus xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 0.9 – 1.2 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanus to win✗
46%
2.15
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanus / FT Lanus✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Gimnasia M. – last 6
WLDDLL
3 Apr
vs Velez Sarsfield
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 6
WWLDLW
16 Apr
vs Always Ready
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Banfield
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Mirassol
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Platense
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Newells Old Boys
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Lanus.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lanus 46%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 0–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?
Gimnasia M. vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigre1
Huracan1