Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelez Sarsfield to win ✓62% · @1.49
Double chanceVelez Sarsfield or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.09
Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Velez Sarsfield take on Central Cordoba de Santiago on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Jose Amalfitani. Velez Sarsfield are 6th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 27th on 27 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Velez Sarsfield's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Deportivo Armenio 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Central Cordoba de Santiago's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Newells Old Boys 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Velez Sarsfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Velez Sarsfield and 0.5 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Velez Sarsfield 62%, draw 25%, Central Cordoba de Santiago 12%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velez Sarsfield62%fair 1.61 · @1.49
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
Central Cordoba de Santiago12%fair 8.00 · @8.00
2.05Expected goals
1.53Velez Sarsfield xG
0.52Central Cordoba de Santiago xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Velez Sarsfield 1.5 – 0.5 Central Cordoba de Santiago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velez Sarsfield to win✓
62%
1.61
1.49
Double chance
Velez Sarsfield or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velez Sarsfield / FT Velez Sarsfield✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
5.09
–
Form
Velez Sarsfield – last 6
WLDWDW
7 Apr
vs Deportivo Armenio
4–1
W
3 Apr
@ Gimnasia M.
2–3
L
10 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Central Cordoba de Santiago – last 6
LLWDLW
6 Apr
vs Newells Old Boys
1–3
L
23 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–5
L
18 Mar
vs Deportivo Riestra
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Independiente
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velez Sarsfield and Central Cordoba de Santiago.
What is the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
On our numbers Velez Sarsfield have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Central Cordoba de Santiago 12%.
How many goals will there be in Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our predicted score is Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba de Santiago (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Jose Amalfitani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.