Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Union Santa Fe to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win59% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion Santa Fe or draw82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–022% · fair 4.53
Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Union Santa Fe take on Deportivo Riestra on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio 15 de Abril. Union Santa Fe are 16th with 42 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Riestra sit 28th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Santa Fe's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Agropecuario 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for Union Santa Fe and 0.5 for Deportivo Riestra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Santa Fe 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Riestra 18%.
Safer route: Union Santa Fe or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Santa Fe to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Santa Fe59%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
Deportivo Riestra18%fair 5.66 · @4.50
1.73Expected goals
1.24Union Santa Fe xG
0.49Deportivo Riestra xG
42%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–018%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.2 – 0.5 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win
59%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Union Santa Fe or draw
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
22%
4.53
–
Form
Union Santa Fe – last 6
WDDWWW
31 Mar
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
DLDDDD
25 Mar
vs San Lorenzo
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Platense
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Huracan
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Deportivo Riestra.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Union Santa Fe to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Riestra 18%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
