Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 2.78 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win ✗43% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Independ. Rivadavia take on Rosario Central on Monday 23 March, kicking off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Bautista Gargantini. Independ. Rivadavia are 4th with 57 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Rosario Central sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Gimnasia L.P. 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Rosario Central's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Banfield 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.2 for Rosario Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independ. Rivadavia 33%, draw 25%, Rosario Central 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Rosario Central to win at 2.78 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independ. Rivadavia33%fair 3.07 · @2.78
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.85
Rosario Central43%fair 2.35 · @2.78
2.25Expected goals
1.02Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.22Rosario Central xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.0 – 1.2 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win✗
43%
2.35
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Independ. Rivadavia – last 5
WLDDL
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
12 Mar
vs Barracas Central
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs River Plate
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Racing Club
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 5
WDWLW
15 Mar
vs Banfield
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rosario Central 43%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bautista Gargantini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Boca Juniors2
Instituto Cordoba0
Platense0
Estudiantes L.P.5
Central Cordoba de Santiago0