Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLanus to win ✓57% · @1.69
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys preview and prediction
The match
Lanus host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus. Lanus are 9th with 50 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Newells Old Boys sit 22nd on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lanus's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newells Old Boys's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Platense 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lanus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Lanus and 0.8 for Newells Old Boys. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lanus 57%, draw 26%, Newells Old Boys 18%.
Safer route: Lanus or draw (82%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Lanus 1–1 Newells Old Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lanus57%fair 1.77 · @1.69
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
Newells Old Boys18%fair 5.71 · @5.60
2.19Expected goals
1.39Lanus xG
0.80Newells Old Boys xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Lanus 1.4 – 0.8 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanus to win✓
57%
1.77
1.69
Double chance
Lanus or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanus / FT Lanus✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Form
Lanus – last 5
WLDLW
14 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Newells Old Boys – last 4
DLLD
11 Mar
vs Platense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Lanus have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newells Old Boys 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Lanus 1–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing Club2
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0