Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 2.16 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓50% · @2.16
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Gimnasia M. take on Estudiantes L.P. on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 01:15 (WAT) at Víctor Legrotaglie. Gimnasia M. are 17th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Estudiantes L.P. sit 11th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gimnasia M.'s last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Riestra 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Lanus 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.6 for Gimnasia M. and 1.1 for Estudiantes L.P.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia M. 25%, draw 25%, Estudiantes L.P. 50%.
Safer route: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (75%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 2.16 – 50% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estudiantes L.P. or draw – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gimnasia M. 0–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia M.25%fair 4.00 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.80
Estudiantes L.P.50%fair 2.00 · @2.16
1.70Expected goals
0.63Gimnasia M. xG
1.08Estudiantes L.P. xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–018%
1–112%
1–011%
0–211%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 0.6 – 1.1 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
50%
2.00
2.16 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.10
–
Form
Gimnasia M. – last 4
DDLL
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. – last 5
LLWWD
14 Mar
vs Lanus
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Estudiantes L.P..
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes L.P. 50%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 0–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
