Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✓38% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.98
Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Sarmiento Junin take on Union Santa Fe on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Eva Perón. Sarmiento Junin are 19th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Union Santa Fe sit 16th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.2 for Union Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento Junin 34%, draw 28%, Union Santa Fe 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin34%fair 2.95 · @3.40
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.88
Union Santa Fe38%fair 2.61 · @2.32
2.35Expected goals
1.18Sarmiento Junin xG
1.17Union Santa Fe xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.2 – 1.2 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win✓
38%
2.61
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento Junin / FT Sarmiento Junin✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
Sarmiento Junin – last 2
LL
20 Feb
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 2
WD
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Union Santa Fe 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing Club1
Independ. Rivadavia1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2
Huracan0
River Plate3
Banfield1