Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓36% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Lanus vs Boca Juniors preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Lanus take on Boca Juniors on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus. Lanus are 9th with 50 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Boca Juniors sit 1st on 63 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lanus's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Boca Juniors's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Lanus and 1.1 for Boca Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Lanus 0–1 Boca Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lanus32%fair 3.08 · @2.78
Draw31%fair 3.20 · @2.85
Boca Juniors36%fair 2.75 · @2.78
2.00Expected goals
0.89Lanus xG
1.10Boca Juniors xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lanus 0.9 – 1.1 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
36%
2.75
2.78
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.67
–
Form
Lanus – last 3
DLW
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 3
WDD
25 Feb
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Platense
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Boca Juniors.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Lanus have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Boca Juniors 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Lanus 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
Lanus vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
