Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Estudiantes L.P. to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.66 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.66Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓68% · @1.66
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓91% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.14
Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes L.P. host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 21:45 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Estudiantes L.P. are 11th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sarmiento Junin sit 19th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.5 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.3 for Sarmiento Junin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Estudiantes L.P. to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.66, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.68%fair 1.48 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.20
Sarmiento Junin9%fair 11.42 · @6.25
1.82Expected goals
1.49Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.33Sarmiento Junin xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–018%
0–016%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.5 – 0.3 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
68%
1.48
1.66 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.46
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
24%
4.14
–
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Junin – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Sarmiento Junin.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.66.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarmiento Junin 9%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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