Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 3.55 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Riestra to win ✗37% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Riestra host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 16 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Laza. Deportivo Riestra are 28th with 23 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Newells Old Boys sit 22nd on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Riestra and 1.0 for Newells Old Boys. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Riestra 37%, draw 27%, Newells Old Boys 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Newells Old Boys to win at 3.55 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Newells Old Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Riestra37%fair 2.69 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.78
Newells Old Boys36%fair 2.80 · @3.55
2.03Expected goals
1.03Deportivo Riestra xG
1.00Newells Old Boys xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–014%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 1.0 – 1.0 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Riestra to win✗
37%
2.69
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Deportivo Riestra
No recent results on record.
Newells Old Boys
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Newells Old Boys 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rosario Central2
Barracas Central0