Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Al-Sailiya to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ahli Doha to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya preview and prediction
The match
Al Ahli Doha host Al-Sailiya in the Stars League on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium. Al Ahli Doha are 7th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Sailiya sit 12th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Ahli Doha's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Al-Gharafa 4–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Al-Sailiya's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Al Shahaniya 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Al Ahli Doha and 1.4 for Al-Sailiya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli Doha 46%, draw 21%, Al-Sailiya 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Al-Sailiya to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Ahli Doha 1–1 Al-Sailiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli Doha46%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Al-Sailiya34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
3.08Expected goals
1.68Al Ahli Doha xG
1.40Al-Sailiya xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 1.7 – 1.4 Al-Sailiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli Doha to win✗
46%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli Doha / FT Al Ahli Doha✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Form
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Mar
@ Al-Gharafa
4–1
W
13 Mar
vs Al-Arabi SC
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Al Shahaniya
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Al-Rayyan SC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Sepahan FC
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs UMM Salal
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Sailiya – last 3
WLL
18 Mar
vs Al Shahaniya
3–2
W
12 Mar
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–4
L
20 Feb
vs UMM Salal
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and Al-Sailiya.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Sailiya 34%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 1–1 Al-Sailiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
