Value bet: Naples to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaples to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Richmond Kickers vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Richmond Kickers take on Naples on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at City Stadium. Richmond Kickers are 17th with 26 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naples's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Red Force 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Richmond Kickers and 1.4 for Naples. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Naples to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Richmond Kickers 1–1 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Richmond Kickers34%fair 2.96 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Naples44%fair 2.25 · @2.45
2.64Expected goals
1.20Richmond Kickers xG
1.43Naples xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 1.2 – 1.4 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naples to win✓
44%
2.25
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naples / FT Naples✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Form
Richmond Kickers – last 2
WD
17 Mar
vs Evergreen
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Alta
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Naples – last 4
WDWL
19 Mar
vs Red Force
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Richmond Kickers and Naples.
What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naples 44%.
How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
Richmond Kickers vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
