Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Yverdon Sport take on Étoile Carouge on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stade Municipal. Yverdon Sport are 3rd with 23 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Étoile Carouge sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Yverdon Sport's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Étoile Carouge's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Rapperswil 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Étoile Carouge 2–2 Yverdon Sport.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Yverdon Sport and 1.0 for Étoile Carouge. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yverdon Sport 60%, draw 19%, Étoile Carouge 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Yverdon Sport 1–1 Étoile Carouge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yverdon Sport60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.60
Étoile Carouge21%fair 4.73 · @3.95
2.94Expected goals
1.92Yverdon Sport xG
1.02Étoile Carouge xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Yverdon Sport 1.9 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Yverdon Sport have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Étoile Carouge 21%.
How many goals will there be in Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Yverdon Sport 1–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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