Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Neuchatel Xamax FC to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeuchatel Xamax FC to win63% · @1.73
Double chanceNeuchatel Xamax FC or draw87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 9.18
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona preview and prediction
The match
Neuchatel Xamax FC host Bellinzona in the Challenge League on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Neuchatel Xamax FC's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Yverdon Sport 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Bellinzona's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to FC Vaduz 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Neuchatel Xamax FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Neuchatel Xamax FC and 0.9 for Bellinzona. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neuchatel Xamax FC 63%, draw 24%, Bellinzona 13%.
Safer route: Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Neuchatel Xamax FC to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–0 Bellinzona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neuchatel Xamax FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.85
Bellinzona13%fair 7.87 · @3.85
3.04Expected goals
2.13Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
0.91Bellinzona xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.1 – 0.9 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neuchatel Xamax FC to win
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.53
Half-time result
Neuchatel Xamax FC ahead at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neuchatel Xamax FC / FT Neuchatel Xamax FC
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
9.18
–
Form
Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6
DWLLWD
22 Apr
@ Yverdon Sport
2–2
D
10 Apr
vs Stade Nyonnais
4–1
W
7 Apr
@ FC WIL 1900
2–5
L
3 Apr
vs FC Vaduz
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Rapperswil
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Stade Nyonnais
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bellinzona – last 6
LLWLLL
7 Apr
@ FC Vaduz
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Yverdon Sport
2–5
L
20 Mar
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Étoile Carouge
0–3
L
27 Feb
vs Yverdon Sport
0–4
L
20 Feb
@ Rapperswil
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neuchatel Xamax FC and Bellinzona.
What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
Our pick is Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bellinzona 13%.
How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–0 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
