FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
FC Aarau to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Aarau to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees FC Aarau take on Stade Lausanne-Ouchy on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). FC Aarau are 6th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Aarau's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Étoile Carouge 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Étoile Carouge 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Aarau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4–2 FC Aarau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for FC Aarau and 1.1 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Aarau 63%, draw 18%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Aarau to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Aarau 2–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Aarau63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.85
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy19%fair 5.31 · @3.90
3.25Expected goals
2.17FC Aarau xG
1.08Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.2 – 1.1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is FC Aarau to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 19%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
