Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗62% · @1.50
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✗83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees FC Aarau take on Étoile Carouge on Tuesday 7 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). FC Aarau are 6th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Étoile Carouge sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Aarau's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat FC Vaduz 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Étoile Carouge's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Stade Nyonnais 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Aarau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Étoile Carouge 0–3 FC Aarau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for FC Aarau and 1.0 for Étoile Carouge. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Aarau 62%, draw 21%, Étoile Carouge 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: FC Aarau 2–1 Étoile Carouge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Aarau62%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.90
Étoile Carouge17%fair 5.82 · @5.75
3.07Expected goals
2.07FC Aarau xG
1.00Étoile Carouge xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.1 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Étoile Carouge 17%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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